Alisha notes

Oct 13 '11

UPDATE 1-Kforce raises Q3 outlook above estimates


Oct 13 (Reuters) - Staffing company Kforce Inc raised its third-quarter outlook amid a rise in temporary hiring.With companies wary of adding to their permanent headcount in uncertain times, employers cautious about the economic recovery are hiring more temporary labor.Kforce, which offers staffing in areas such as technology, finance and accounting, health and life sciences, said it now expects third-quarter earnings of 22 cents a share on revenue of $289 million.The company, which competes with Korn/Ferry International , Kelly Services and SFN Group , had previously forecast earnings of 17-19 cents a share on revenue of $276-$283 million in the quarter.Analysts, on average, were expecting earnings of 18 cents a share on revenue of $$279.4 million, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.Shares of the Tampa, Florida-based company closed at $11.68 on Thursday on Nasdaq.

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Oct 13 '11

Wealth managers prefer Apple over RIM devices


The research firm, which focuses on financial services, conducted the survey in March, well before the recent RIM outage which left large pockets of BlackBerry users around the world without access to email and other functions.The study found that using mobile devices was increasingly important to advisers, many of whom service clients with hand-held devices who have access to online brokerage services.Nearly half the advisers surveyed said having access to business applications was an “important” or “very important” part of their technology strategy for 2011.

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Oct 13 '11

Analysis: Pension woes are complicating retirement


Stock market losses began dragging down pension assets a few years ago, but the current near-zero interest rates - intended to spur the American economy - have worsened the problem and created the largest gap in assets and liabilities since the end of World War II. “While low interest rates help people borrow money, they dramatically shoot up the pension obligations of plans,” says Rebecca Davis, an attorney at the Pension Rights Center in Washington.And the problem isn’t unique to the U.S. A new study from consulting giant Mercer says the problem is global in scope. The sustainability of pensions in other countries is also at risk, according to the 2011 Melbourne Mercer Global Pension Index released on Tuesday.That’s the kind of uncertainty prompted American Airlines Captain Rod Carlone to leave the work force last month, much sooner than he had expected. Carlone says he did not want to risk missing out on a lump sum payment if the American Airlines Pensions Inc. Pilot Retirement Benefit Program Fixed Income Plan (the pilot pension plan) was underfunded. After almost 24 years at American, he flew his last flight on September 30 from Dallas to Los Angeles.”I can’t afford at almost 62 a financial setback I could not recover from,” Carlone says. “I live in Las Vegas, and this is one wager I didn’t want to make.”Concerns about the pension have resurfaced in recent months, but the airline says participants shouldn’t worry. “We have a history of meeting our pension obligations,” says Sean Collins, director of financial communications at American Airlines.How bad is the cash crunch for companies? The aggregate deficit of pension plans among S&P 1500 companies climbed by $134 billion in September to $512 billion, according to Mercer. The funded status of the 100 largest corporate pensions dropped by $124 billion during September, according to Milliman, an actuarial and accounting firm. Looking at it another way, the funded ratio of companies in the index slipped to less than 73 percent from almost 80 percent at the end of August.The situation is deteriorating rapidly: The decline in the last quarter was the most significant three-month drop since the start of the financial crisis at the end of 2008, Milliman says.Even more worrisome, pension obligations are expected to grow because companies must meet funding requirements set out in the Pension Protection Act of 2006. “You’re talking about dramatically increasing funding obligations in just a year’s time,” says Lynn Dudley, senior vice president policy of American Benefits Council, a Washington, D.C. trade association. “What businesses do is halt projects, and they halt hiring to save the money because it’s not a choice. They’re going to have to put it into the plan.”Companies typically make up for these shortfalls by borrowing or using cash on hand, and most should be able to pay the minimum necessary. But many sponsors have large pension liabilities, says Alan Glickstein, senior retirement consultant at Towers Watson.For example, the Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. expects to contribute almost $400 million a year in 2012 and 2013 to improve the funding status of its pensions, according to the company. Since April, new retirees can only get half their pension in a lump sum and the other half as a monthly annuity, because the pension for salaried employees is less than 80 percent funded, which is typical for companies with underfunded pensions.American says an outside analysis of its plan in the first quarter of 2011 “found that all four AMR pensions were more than 80 percent funded.” The company says it has contributed more than half of the $520 million it needs to provide this year to its four plans.”Companies with lots of cash can probably weather the storm,” says Jonathan Barry, a partner in Mercer’s Retirement Risk and Finance business. But not every employer has a lot of cash, he says, including nonprofits.More companies may decide to freeze pensions, say experts. When that happens, workers don’t get to accrue additional benefits beyond what they’ve already earned. Companies typically add a 401(k) plan, but that leaves the retirement saving and investing to employees rather than the pros.IDENTIFYING TROUBLEHow do you know if your pension is in trouble? Companies must notify workers if a plan falls below 80 percent funding. Plans with a funding level below 60 percent are forced to freeze and to provide only an annuity.Companies obviously don’t like to slip below the 80 percent threshold, says Mike Dulaney, consulting actuary, retirement and investor services at Principal Financial Group. Employees “are going to get their pensions, but they may lose some flexibility in terms of the pension payments they receive,” Dulaney adds. “They don’t want to give notice to workers about the restrictions,” he says. “It might cause panic among participants.”But they shouldn’t, says Davis of the Pension Rights Center. Even in the worst-case scenario such as when a company files for bankruptcy, workers receive most if not all of their benefits from the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., which insures private pensions and pays benefits when companies can’t.Currently, a 65-year-old would receive a maximum of $54,000 a year in pension benefits from the PBGC, if that is what they would have received from their company.Davis recommends that workers stay on top of a plan’s funding status by reading the fund’s annual report, typically sent by mail. Plans must provide additional notices when benefits are restricted because of pension underfunding.Historically, most people eligible for a lump sum take it rather than choose a lifetime annuity. But that’s not necessarily the best choice. New rules allow smaller lump sums, and since January, the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index dropped 4 percent. — good reminders that managing your own money isn’t easy.Consider your age, life expectancy, company health and other investments before making the choice about whether to take an annuity or lump sum. Most importantly, don’t be tempted to spend that money now if you’re going to need it for retirement. Another consideration, if your company freezes the plan you might want to save more in a 401(k) or IRA.

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Oct 12 '11

FEATURE-Arab Spring exposes Jordan’s economic policy rifts


* Growth languishes at low levels* Fears that government could raid c.bank funds* To remain heavily dependent on foreign aidBy Suleiman Al-KhalidiAMMAN, Oct 12 (Reuters) - Jordan’s former central bank chief, ousted by the government last month after security personnel surrounded the bank to stop him entering, says he fears for the country’s economic stability as rising government spending pushes state finances deeper into the red.”Am I conceited because I speak my view and don’t agree with government policies that will create problems in the future?” Faris Abdul Hamid Sharaf told reporters, responding to public criticism of him by Prime Minister Marouf al-Bakhit.Just several years ago, Jordan was viewed by many businessmen as an economic success story; under reforms guided by the International Monetary Fund, it became one of the Middle East’s most open economies.Now, political unrest across the Arab world has pushed Jordan into a big increase in government spending on salaries, food and energy subsidies and its social safety network, in an effort to head off domestic protests by placating the country’s poor. Millions of dollars of state money have been channelled to tribal areas that provide the backbone of support for the Hashemite royal family regime.This has prompted the government to increase state spending this year by over 700 million dinars from its original plan to 6.95 billion dinars ($9.8 billion) through two supplementary annexes to the 2011 budget.That makes the government’s budget deficit target this year, 5.5 percent of gross domestic product, look much too optimistic; economists and bankers think the deficit will be nearly 7 percent. Public debt was already rising before the additional spending — at the end of August it stood at 12 billion dinars or 57 percent of GDP. Including debt incurred by the national electric power company and guaranteed by the government, it is already above a legal limit set by Jordan of 60 percent, according to the finance ministry.”The government is saying the deficit is a small price to pay in return for maintaining social peace and security. They are pursuing a policy of political convenience and appeasement. But they are just postponing problems at a higher cost,” said Jawad Anani, a leading economist and former deputy prime minister.Earlier this year, Jordan’s economy was officially expected to grow around 3 percent in 2011, much slower than the average 7 percent seen over the last decade during a boom fed by high aid levels and capital inflows and investments.But even 3 percent may not be attainable, officials now concede privately, as the kingdom is still struggling to recover from the global downturn of 2008-2009, which cut remittances from Jordanian expatriates in the Gulf.Another blow to state finances is a record energy bill that is expected to top $4.5 billion after the disruption of Egyptian gas supplies to Jordan due to sabotage of the pipeline in the Sinai region. This prompted the kingdom to switch to more expensive diesel fuel to generate electricity.”The government cannot touch or change 90 percent of the expenditure allocations in the budget. Economic conditions are not comforting,” an exasperated Finance Minister Mohammad Abu Hammour told Reuters.TENSIONSThese tensions spilled over last month in the government’s sacking from the central bank of the 41-year-old Sharaf, a U.S.-educated banker who is the son of Abdul Hamid Sharaf, a former liberal prime minister who tried to modernise the country’s tribe-based political structure before his death in 1980.Sharaf said he did not know why he was ousted, suggesting it might be because he had “fought corruption within the banking sector and stood up against the entry of criminal elements”.But disagreements over economic policy appeared at least partly responsible. Sharaf, known as a fierce advocate of fiscal discipline, had repeatedly warned that wasteful subsidies were distorting the economy and hindering IMF-guided reforms.Sharaf also had forthright views on the need to rationalise Jordan’s secret army expenditure. This made him enemies in a bloated military patronage system.Prime Minister Bakhit, a conservative former general, said publicly that Sharaf’s free-market views ran contrary to the populist agenda of a government which claims to defend ordinary Jordanians from the abuses of the business elite. The current government came to power in February, during the Arab Spring unrest in the region, after King Abdullah sacked an unpopular pro-business prime minister.Regardless of the specific issues at stake, the government’s action against the central bank governor, who was only ten months into a five-year tenure, raised questions about the predictability of economic policy-making.”It sends a very, very bad signal. This was a political mistake of huge dimensions. This is a very worrying development,” said one senior Western diplomat, who requested anonymity.Sharaf, who described his dismissal as illegal, was replaced by a long-time veteran of the bank, Mohammad Said Shaheen, a deputy governor. He is expected to focus on the central bank’s traditional role of defending the dinar currency, which is pegged to the U.S. dollar.INDEPENDENCEIn March this year, Sharaf stood up to the government when it sought to overdraw its account at the central bank to pay civil servants’ salaries. He wrote to Bakhit and the finance ministry saying they had three days to come up with the funds, a rare move in a country where influential politicians are rarely challenged over spending.”If you overdraw it’s a form of printing money. I am not going to let the government find an illegal window of financing,” he said.Now some economists and businessmen fear that with Sharaf out of the way, the government could seek to finance its budget deficit by raiding funds at the central bank.”If the central bank succumbs to pressure to give advances to the government to alleviate pressure on the budget by taking on more public debt, the bank could become a government puppet,” said Anani.Prominent commercial banker Mufleh Aqel said, “The independence of the central bank must be maintained under all circumstances so that it does not fall under the government’s influence — especially at a time of expanding social programmes that appease rather than solve fundamental problems facing the economy.”Jordan’s key role in protecting geopolitical stability in the Middle East makes it one of the highest per capita recipients of foreign aid in the world, according to figures from USAID, the U.S. aid agency. In the past, foreign aid has sometimes financed almost half the country’s budget deficit; Anani and others credit a $1.4 billion cash injection by Saudi Arabia this year for keeping the economy afloat.Last year Jordan issued its first sovereign Eurobond on the international market, raising $750 million. Abu Hammour said the price of those bonds had now dropped about 10 percent in secondary market trading, though he attributed this to pressure on bond prices across the region in the wake of the Arab Spring, and did not rule out Jordan returning to international debt markets next year.Weak global markets may make it hard for Jordan to issue another international bond, however. In that case, the government will have to continue relying heavily on foreign aid in the coming year. But the fiscal pressures on Jordan mean the aid may not be enough to support solid economic growth; economists worry large government debt issues to local banks to fund the deficit will crowd out credit to the private sector.”Jordan has to resort to more stringent fiscal policies and ask people to tighten their belts. Otherwise we might become

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